{"id":854,"date":"2023-02-06T09:18:04","date_gmt":"2023-02-06T09:18:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/?p=854"},"modified":"2023-02-06T09:18:04","modified_gmt":"2023-02-06T09:18:04","slug":"deficit-zahranicniho-obchodu-se-v-prosinci-snizil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/?p=854","title":{"rendered":"Deficit zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu se v prosinci sn\u00ed\u017eil"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Bilance zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu poprv\u00e9 za dev\u011bt m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f sestoupila z dvoucifern\u00e9ho deficitu, kdy\u017e za prosinec dos\u00e1hla -1,2 mld. K\u010d.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>D\u016fvodem je sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed deficitu bilance obchodu s chemick\u00fdmi l\u00e1tkami, ropou a zemn\u00edm plynem a sou\u010dasn\u011b pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159ebytek obchodu s motorov\u00fdmi vozidly a elekt\u0159inou a plynem spolu s p\u0159echodem obchodu s elektronick\u00fdmi za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edmi do kladn\u00e9ho salda. Za cel\u00fd rok 2022 dos\u00e1hl deficit bilance zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu se zbo\u017e\u00edm 197,8 mld K\u010d, co\u017e odpov\u00edd\u00e1 na\u0161\u00ed progn\u00f3ze, je\u017e po\u010d\u00edtala s 202,2 mld. K\u010d.<\/p>\n<p>V bilanci zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu se v z\u00e1v\u011bru minul\u00e9ho roku p\u0159\u00edzniv\u011b projevilo zvoln\u011bn\u00ed cenov\u00fdch tlak\u016f u energetick\u00fdch komodit. To spolu s posiluj\u00edc\u00ed korunou zlevnilo jejich dovozy. Sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed deficitu pozorujeme tak\u00e9 u energeticky n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9ho chemick\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu. Krom\u011b cenov\u00e9ho efektu ale tak\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee hr\u00e1t roli ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed popt\u00e1vka, a tud\u00ed\u017e ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed dovezen\u00e9 objemy. Jeliko\u017e popt\u00e1vka kles\u00e1 i v zahrani\u010d\u00ed, lze p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee se tento efekt projevuje i na stran\u011b export\u016f. D\u00e1le k celkov\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00edmu deficitu zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu op\u011bt p\u0159isp\u011bl automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, kde byla v\u00fdroba v prosinci meziro\u010dn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed o 30 %.<\/p>\n<p>Ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed popt\u00e1vka je patrn\u00e1 tak\u00e9 v mezim\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00edm v\u00fdvoji v\u00fdvoz\u016f a dovoz\u016f. Po sez\u00f3nn\u00edm o\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed byly dovozy (v b\u011b\u017en\u00fdch cen\u00e1ch) v prosinci o 6,8 % ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v listopadu. U v\u00fdvozu se dostavil ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed pokles, o 0,8 %. Zde se ale m\u00eds\u00ed tak\u00e9 vliv ni\u017e\u0161\u00edch cen dovoz\u016f a v\u00fdvoz\u016f, kter\u00e9 sni\u017euj\u00ed hodnotu zbo\u017e\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Pro leto\u0161n\u00ed rok o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1me ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed schodek zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu pobl\u00ed\u017e 110 mld. K\u010d. Podle na\u0161\u00ed progn\u00f3zy setrv\u00e1 dom\u00e1c\u00ed i zahrani\u010dn\u00ed popt\u00e1vka utlumen\u00e1 i b\u011bhem prvn\u00ed poloviny leto\u0161n\u00edho roku s nep\u0159\u00edzniv\u00fdm vlivem na pr\u016fmyslovou v\u00fdrobu. Pozitivn\u011b by ale na toky v p\u0159eshrani\u010dn\u00edm obchodu m\u011blo p\u016fsobit sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed nejistoty a pesimismu ohledn\u011b budouc\u00edho ekonomick\u00e9ho patrn\u00e9 z v\u00fdsledk\u016f ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch pr\u016fzkum\u016f. Ve sm\u011bru ni\u017e\u0161\u00edho ne\u017e predikovan\u00e9mu deficitu jde pak p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdznamn\u00fd pokles cen energetick\u00fdch komodit, kter\u00fd na\u0161e zimn\u00ed progn\u00f3za nezahrnuje.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Zdroj: Raiffeisenbank<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>Bilance zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu poprv\u00e9 za dev\u011bt m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f sestoupila z dvoucifern\u00e9ho deficitu, kdy\u017e za prosinec dos\u00e1hla -1,2 mld. K\u010d.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":199,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-854","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyza","category-statistika"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/854","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=854"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/854\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":856,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/854\/revisions\/856"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/199"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=854"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=854"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=854"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}