{"id":1419,"date":"2023-05-11T09:59:31","date_gmt":"2023-05-11T09:59:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/?p=1419"},"modified":"2023-05-11T09:59:31","modified_gmt":"2023-05-11T09:59:31","slug":"cba-odhadla-letosni-inflaci-na-11-video","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/?p=1419","title":{"rendered":"\u010cBA odhadla leto\u0161n\u00ed inflaci na 11 % (VIDEO)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Hlavn\u00ed ekonomov\u00e9 bank zastoupen\u00ed v prognostick\u00e9m panelu \u010cesk\u00e9 bankovn\u00ed asociace (\u010cBA) o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed v leto\u0161n\u00edm roce m\u00edrn\u00fd r\u016fst ekonomiky. Odhad se tak oproti progn\u00f3ze z \u00fanora m\u00edrn\u011b zlep\u0161il, pro p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok se pak p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 r\u016fst o necel\u00e1 3 %.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>V leto\u0161n\u00edm roce by m\u011bl r\u016fst ekonomiky postupn\u011b zrychlovat. P\u0159\u00edzniv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoj v prvn\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed podle p\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00e9ho odhadu nazna\u010duje, \u017ee tuzemsk\u00e1 ekonomika se ji\u017e velmi t\u011bsn\u011b dostala z m\u00edrn\u00e9 recese. Inflace byla pro leto\u0161ek p\u0159ehodnocena sm\u011brem nahoru a v pr\u016fm\u011bru se bude pohybovat u 11% hranice, koncem roku pak kolem 8 %.<\/p>\n<p>V p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce v\u0161ak progn\u00f3za p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 pokles inflace ke 3 %, a\u010dkoli odhady budouc\u00edch infla\u010dn\u00edch tlak\u016f jsou v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b velmi nejist\u00e9 a mezi ekonomy r\u016fznorod\u00e9. Trh pr\u00e1ce z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v dobr\u00e9 kondici, co\u017e vedlo k p\u0159ehodnocen\u00ed m\u00edry nezam\u011bstnanosti sm\u011brem dol\u016f a tak\u00e9 k rychlej\u0161\u00edmu odhadu r\u016fstu mezd. Ten by m\u011bl letos dos\u00e1hnout 9 %.<\/p>\n<p>Pokles re\u00e1ln\u00fdch mezd v\u0161ak bude pokra\u010dovat i letos, le\u010d oproti minul\u00e9mu roku bude podstatn\u011b m\u00edrn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. \u00darokov\u00e9 sazby \u010cNB za\u010dnou klesat, na konci leto\u0161n\u00edho roku vid\u00ed progn\u00f3za z\u00e1kladn\u00ed sazbu na 6,5 %, koncem p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho roku pak m\u00edrn\u011b nad 4 %. Kurz koruny pro leto\u0161n\u00ed i p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok \u010dek\u00e1me kolem \u00farovn\u011b 24 K\u010d za euro.<\/p>\n<p class=\"v1MsoNormal\"><b>Progn\u00f3zu p\u0159edstavili online:<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"v1MsoNormal\">Jarom\u00edr \u0160indel, hlavn\u00ed ekonom Citibank<\/p>\n<p class=\"v1MsoNormal\">Petr Gapko, hlavn\u00ed ekonom MONETA Money Bank<\/p>\n<p class=\"v1MsoNormal\">Jakub Seidler, hlavn\u00ed ekonom \u010cBA<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Makroekonomick\u00e1 progn\u00f3za \u010cBA 11. 5. 2023\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Cs9hrOcJIbU?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"v1MsoNormal\">\n<p class=\"v1MsoNormal\">P\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 dotazy m\u016f\u017eete ps\u00e1t p\u0159es YT po skon\u010den\u00ed online TK.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>Hlavn\u00ed ekonomov\u00e9 bank zastoupen\u00ed v prognostick\u00e9m panelu \u010cesk\u00e9 bankovn\u00ed asociace (\u010cBA) o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed v leto\u0161n\u00edm roce m\u00edrn\u00fd r\u016fst ekonomiky. Odhad se tak oproti progn\u00f3ze z \u00fanora <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/?p=1419\" title=\"\u010cBA odhadla leto\u0161n\u00ed inflaci na 11 % (VIDEO)\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1420,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1419","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyza","category-banky"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1419","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1419"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1419\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1421,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1419\/revisions\/1421"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1420"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1419"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1419"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1419"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}