{"id":1244,"date":"2023-04-03T13:41:35","date_gmt":"2023-04-03T13:41:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/?p=1244"},"modified":"2023-04-03T13:41:35","modified_gmt":"2023-04-03T13:41:35","slug":"deficit-vladnich-financi-uz-presahuje-165-miliard","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/?p=1244","title":{"rendered":"Deficit vl\u00e1dn\u00edch financ\u00ed u\u017e p\u0159esahuje 165 miliard"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Po \u010dtvrtin\u011b leto\u0161n\u00edho roku dos\u00e1hl deficit vl\u00e1dn\u00edch financ\u00ed 166,2 mld. K\u010d.\u00a0Pro b\u0159ezen jde o historicky nejhor\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdsledek, v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce deficit dosahoval necel\u00fdch 60 mld. K\u010d, v covidov\u00e9m roce 2021 pak 125 mld. K\u010d.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Nad\u00e1le se v rozpo\u010dtu negativn\u011b projevuj\u00ed prohlubuj\u00edc\u00ed se v\u00fddaje v soci\u00e1ln\u00ed oblasti a z\u00e1rove\u0148 v\u00fddaje vynakl\u00e1dan\u00e9 na zastropov\u00e1n\u00ed cen elekt\u0159iny a plynu.<\/p>\n<p>Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b rozpo\u010dtu se \u010dek\u00e1 na p\u0159ips\u00e1n\u00ed pen\u011bz z dan\u011b z neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9ho zisku, kde Ministerstvo financ\u00ed po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s dodate\u010dn\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edjmem ve v\u00fd\u0161i 85 mld. K\u010d. K tomu v b\u0159eznu je\u0161t\u011b nedo\u0161lo, st\u00e1t ji\u017e ale vybral zhruba 8 miliard korun na odvodu z nadm\u011brn\u00e9ho zisku p\u0159i v\u00fdrob\u011b elekt\u0159iny. Zde z\u00e1kon o st\u00e1tn\u00edm rozpo\u010dtu p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 celkov\u00fd v\u00fdb\u011br ve v\u00fd\u0161i 15mld. K\u010d.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159i pohledu na celkov\u00fd v\u00fdsledek je znateln\u00fd zejm\u00e9na prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst v\u00fddaj\u016f, kdy srovn\u00e1vac\u00ed z\u00e1kladna je z\u010d\u00e1sti ovlivn\u011bna i rozpo\u010dtov\u00fdm provizoriem ze za\u010d\u00e1tku lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku. Zat\u00edmco p\u0159\u00edjmy meziro\u010dn\u011b vzrostly o 13,0 % (+46,2 mld. K\u010d), v\u00fddaje rostly proti lo\u0148sk\u00e9mu b\u0159eznu o 36,9 % (+153,3 mld. K\u010d). I pokud by ji\u017e v b\u0159eznu do\u0161lo k p\u0159ips\u00e1n\u00ed dan\u011b z neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdch zisk\u016f v cel\u00e9 napl\u00e1novan\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161i, deficit by st\u00e1le z\u016fstal ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s lo\u0148sk\u00fdm rokem vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p><b>Na stran\u011b p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f<\/b>\u00a0p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed i d\u00e1le nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed meziro\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edr\u016fstek<b>\u00a0v\u00fdb\u011br p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvk\u016f z pojistn\u00e9ho na soc. zabezpe\u010den\u00ed<\/b>, kde do\u0161lo k meziro\u010dn\u00edmu n\u00e1r\u016fstu o 15,6 mld. K\u010d (+10,5 %). Pozitivn\u00ed impuls p\u0159inesl zmi\u0148ovan\u00fd odvod z nadm\u011brn\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f v\u00fdrobc\u016f elekt\u0159iny (+8,2 mld. K\u010d) a nad\u00e1le pom\u00e1h\u00e1 i vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdb\u011br u inkasa dan\u011b z p\u0159idan\u00e9 hodnoty. Zde se povedlo vybrat o 9,7 % v\u00edce (+7,0 mld. K\u010d), kdy v\u00fdb\u011br na jednu stranu reflektuje nad\u00e1le vysokou inflaci, na druhou stranu je poni\u017eov\u00e1n kv\u016fli odhadem 7% re\u00e1ln\u00e9mu meziro\u010dn\u00edmu poklesu maloobchodn\u00edch tr\u017eeb.<\/p>\n<p><b>Na stran\u011b v\u00fddaj\u016f\u00a0<\/b>jsou probl\u00e9my i nad\u00e1le jasn\u00e9, kdy o t\u0159etinu rostly b\u011b\u017en\u00e9 v\u00fddaje (+133,2 mld. K\u010d). \u010c\u00e1st jde na vrub vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdplat\u00e1m d\u016fchod\u016f (+20,9 %, +29,7 mld. K\u010d), kv\u016fli kompenzac\u00edm cen energi\u00ed pak v\u00fdrazn\u011b vzrostly i transfery podnikatel\u016fm (+232,0 %, +30,9 mld. K\u010d), skrze kter\u00e9 je zastropov\u00e1n\u00ed cen realizov\u00e1no.<\/p>\n<p>Celkov\u00fd obr\u00e1zek st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu je tak nad\u00e1le sp\u00ed\u0161e pesimistick\u00fd, kdy i p\u0159i zapo\u010dten\u00ed mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f a faktor\u016f plynouc\u00edch z lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9ho provizoria se nezd\u00e1, \u017ee by rozpo\u010det byl na v\u00fdrazn\u011b lep\u0161\u00ed cest\u011b ne\u017e v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce. Tehdy deficit dos\u00e1hl 360 miliard K\u010d. Z\u00e1sadn\u00ed krom\u011b v\u00fdvoje v\u00fddaj\u016f nyn\u00ed bude i fin\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fd\u0161e v\u00fdnos\u016f dan\u011b z neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdch zisk\u016f, pozitivn\u011b patrn\u011b p\u0159isp\u011bje tak\u00e9 dividenda z \u010cEZ a \u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed evropsk\u00fdch pen\u011bz pro N\u00e1rodn\u00ed pl\u00e1n obnovy. Dosa\u017een\u00ed pl\u00e1novan\u00e9ho 295miliardov\u00e9ho deficitu tak nen\u00ed nere\u00e1ln\u00e9, sou\u010dasn\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky ale nazna\u010duj\u00ed prostor pro sp\u00ed\u0161e vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed celoro\u010dn\u00ed deficit.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Zdroj: \u00a0Vratislav Z\u00e1mi\u0161, analytik Raiffeisenbank<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>Po \u010dtvrtin\u011b leto\u0161n\u00edho roku dos\u00e1hl deficit vl\u00e1dn\u00edch financ\u00ed 166,2 mld. K\u010d.\u00a0Pro b\u0159ezen jde o historicky nejhor\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdsledek, v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce deficit dosahoval necel\u00fdch 60 mld. <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/?p=1244\" title=\"Deficit vl\u00e1dn\u00edch financ\u00ed u\u017e p\u0159esahuje 165 miliard\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":199,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1244","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyza"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1244","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1244"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1244\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1246,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1244\/revisions\/1246"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/199"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1244"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1244"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1244"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}