{"id":1175,"date":"2023-03-20T20:04:32","date_gmt":"2023-03-20T20:04:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/?p=1175"},"modified":"2023-03-21T12:47:51","modified_gmt":"2023-03-21T12:47:51","slug":"nejistota-z-vyvoje-v-bankovnim-sektoru-pretrvava","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/?p=1175","title":{"rendered":"Z\u00e1mi\u0161: Nejistota v odv\u011btv\u00ed p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed trh m\u00e1 za sebou dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00edce volatiln\u00ed t\u00fdden, kter\u00fd se nesl p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm ve znamen\u00ed snahy o stabilizaci v\u00fdvoje v bankovn\u00edm sektoru. Ta vy\u00fastila v\u00edkendov\u00fdm odprodejem dlouhodob\u011b probl\u00e9mov\u00e9 \u0161v\u00fdcarsk\u00e9 banky Credit Suisse do rukou jej\u00edho rivala UBS.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Spole\u010dn\u011b s roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm n\u00e1stroj\u016f na poskytov\u00e1n\u00ed likvidity ze strany hlavn\u00edch centr\u00e1ln\u00ed bank se tak poda\u0159ilo uklidnit situaci a za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto t\u00fddne je obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed a\u017e na v\u00fdjimky prozat\u00edm klidn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Paniku nedopustila ani\u00a0<b>ECB, kter\u00e1 na \u010dtvrte\u010dn\u00edm zased\u00e1n\u00ed rozhodla o 50bb zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed\u00a0<\/b>a nazna\u010dila tak, \u017ee finan\u010dn\u00ed sektor pova\u017euje za dostate\u010dn\u011b stabiln\u00ed proto, aby zvl\u00e1dl dal\u0161\u00ed zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed sazeb. Cenov\u00e1 stabilita je tak i nad\u00e1le podle ECB hlavn\u00edm probl\u00e9mem. Glob\u00e1ln\u00edmu d\u011bn\u00ed pak odpov\u00eddal i v\u00fdvoj u \u010desk\u00e9 koruny. Ta na za\u010d\u00e1tku minul\u00e9ho t\u00fddne v\u016f\u010di euru d\u00e1le ztr\u00e1cela a poprv\u00e9 od leto\u0161n\u00edho ledna oslabila nad 24,0 EUR\/CZK. Zde se ale deprecia\u010dn\u00ed tlaky um\u00edrnily a od t\u00e9 doby se obchoduje v relativn\u011b \u00fazk\u00e9m p\u00e1smu kolem 24korunov\u00e9 hranice.<\/p>\n<p><b>V tomto t\u00fddnu bude z\u00e1sadn\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm m\u011bnov\u011bpolitick\u00e9 zased\u00e1n\u00ed Fedu.<\/b>\u00a0Je\u0161t\u011b zhruba p\u0159ed dv\u011bma t\u00fddny bylo z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 zrychlen\u00ed tempa zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed sazeb, a tedy 50bb hike v d\u016fsledku p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch infla\u010dn\u00edch tlak\u016f. Jen\u017ee po p\u00e1du Silicon Valley Bank trh v\u00fdrazn\u011b zm\u011bnil sv\u00e9 p\u0159edpoklady a od st\u0159ede\u010dn\u00edho zased\u00e1n\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 letos posledn\u00ed 25bodov\u00fd \u010di z\u010d\u00e1sti dokonce \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd hike. D\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd bude i v\u00fdhled v podob\u011b nov\u00e9 progn\u00f3zy. Trh aktu\u00e1ln\u011b zace\u0148uje sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed sazeb od leto\u0161n\u00edho l\u00e9ta, nov\u011b vydan\u00fd dot-plot patrn\u011b takto holubi\u010d\u00ed v\u00fdhled nenab\u00eddne. Ot\u00e1zkou tak je, jak velk\u00fd balanc mezi cenovou a finan\u010dn\u00ed stabilitou zased\u00e1n\u00ed nab\u00eddne. Pokud se poda\u0159\u00ed d\u00e1le uklidnit trh, m\u016f\u017ee lep\u0161\u00ed sentiment kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b pomoct korun\u011b k pos\u00edlen\u00ed. Dlouhodob\u011b v na\u0161em v\u00fdhledu i nad\u00e1le o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1me pro leto\u0161n\u00ed rok oslabov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by m\u011blo b\u00fdt podpo\u0159eno mj. v\u00fdhledem na sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed sazeb ze strany \u010cNB.<\/p>\n<p>Autor: Vratislav Z\u00e1mi\u0161, analytik Raiffeisenbank<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed trh m\u00e1 za sebou dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00edce volatiln\u00ed t\u00fdden, kter\u00fd se nesl p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm ve znamen\u00ed snahy o stabilizaci v\u00fdvoje v bankovn\u00edm sektoru. Ta vy\u00fastila <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/?p=1175\" title=\"Z\u00e1mi\u0161: Nejistota v odv\u011btv\u00ed p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":843,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1175","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-banky"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1175","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1175"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1175\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1183,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1175\/revisions\/1183"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/843"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1175"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1175"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1175"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}