{"id":1088,"date":"2023-03-09T22:20:13","date_gmt":"2023-03-09T22:20:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/?p=1088"},"modified":"2023-03-09T22:59:49","modified_gmt":"2023-03-09T22:59:49","slug":"optimismus-na-trhu-prace-pro-2-ctvrtleti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/?p=1088","title":{"rendered":"Optimismus na trhu pr\u00e1ce pro 2. \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Na p\u0159elomu roku se firmy p\u0159ipravovaly na nejhor\u0161\u00ed a odkl\u00e1daly n\u00e1bory. Na ja\u0159e pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed doplnit stavy.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Spole\u010dnost ManpowerGroup \u010cesk\u00e1 republika zve\u0159ejnila v\u00fdsledky pr\u016fzkumu \u201eManpowerGroup index trhu pr\u00e1ce\u201c pro druh\u00e9 \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed roku 2023 na tiskov\u00e9 konferenci konan\u00e9 7.3. v Praze.<\/p>\n<p>V r\u00e1mci pr\u016fzkumu ManpowerGroup index trhu pr\u00e1ce pro druh\u00e9 \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed 2023 byla v\u0161em \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016fm vybran\u00e9ho reprezentativn\u00edho vzorku 510 zam\u011bstnavatel\u016f v \u010cR polo\u017eena ot\u00e1zka: <em>\u201eJak o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1te, \u017ee se zm\u011bn\u00ed celkov\u00fd po\u010det zam\u011bstnanc\u016f ve va\u0161\u00ed spole\u010dnosti v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed do konce \u010dervna 2023 v porovn\u00e1n\u00ed s aktu\u00e1ln\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00edm?\u201c<\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Zam\u011bstnavatel\u00e9 v \u010cesk\u00e9 republice o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed v druh\u00e9m \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed roku 2023 optimistick\u00e9 n\u00e1borov\u00e9 prost\u0159ed\u00ed s\u00a0\u010dist\u00fdm indexem trhu pr\u00e1ce 16 procentn\u00edch bod\u016f. V porovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0p\u0159edchoz\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00edm, kdy byl index m\u00edrn\u011b z\u00e1porn\u00fd, do\u0161lo k\u00a0v\u00fdrazn\u00e9mu pos\u00edlen\u00ed o 18 bod\u016f. \u010cesk\u00fd trh pr\u00e1ce se tak vr\u00e1til na \u00farove\u0148 optimismu v\u00a0roce 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Po obdob\u00ed nejistoty a vy\u010dk\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 jsme pozorovali na p\u0159elomu roku, si nyn\u00ed firmy mysl\u00ed, \u017ee ve druh\u00e9m \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed 2023 za\u010dnou op\u011bt nab\u00edrat. O 9 p.b. na 31 stoupl po\u010det optimistick\u00fdch firem a stejnou m\u011brou na 15 kleslo procento pesimistick\u00fdch firem. Vzrostl po\u010det firem, kter\u00e9 nebudou d\u011blat \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zm\u011bny (z 43 na 49 %) a klesl po\u010det firem, kter\u00e9 zat\u00edm nev\u00ed, jestli budou v\u00a0dal\u0161\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed nab\u00edrat nebo propou\u0161t\u011bt (z 11 na 5 %).<em>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eV\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st \u010desk\u00e9ho trhu pr\u00e1ce ukazuje, \u017ee m\u00e1 ji\u017e mnohem jasn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vyhl\u00eddky pro bl\u00edzkou budoucnost. V na\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1borov\u00e9 praxi vid\u00edme, \u017ee firmy sv\u00e1 zmra\u017een\u00e1 pracovn\u00ed m\u00edsta za\u010daly op\u011bt obsazovat, proto\u017ee energetickou krizi, v\u00fdvoj inflace a dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce se da\u0159\u00ed stabilizovat. Pracovn\u00ed trh ale nad\u00e1le z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 vlivem ekonomick\u00fdch a soci\u00e1ln\u00edch zm\u011bn nad\u00e1le velmi turbulentn\u00ed,\u201c <\/em>\u0159ekla Jaroslava Rezlerov\u00e1, gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editelka ManpowerGroup \u010cesk\u00e1 republika.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Porovn\u00e1n\u00ed dle odv\u011btv\u00ed<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Zam\u011bstnavatel\u00e9 v\u00a08 z 9 \u010desk\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00ed pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed pro druh\u00e9 \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed 2023 n\u00e1r\u016fst n\u00e1borov\u00fdch aktivit, pokles predikuje pouze odv\u011btv\u00ed Komunika\u010dn\u00ed slu\u017eby (telekomunikace, m\u00e9dia, vydavatelstv\u00ed, z\u00e1bavn\u00ed pr\u016fmysl) s \u010cist\u00fdm indexem trhu pr\u00e1ce -3 %. Toto odv\u011btv\u00ed je tak\u00e9 jedin\u00e9, kter\u00e9 vykazuje oslaben\u00ed v\u00a0meziro\u010dn\u00edm srovn\u00e1n\u00ed (o 3 procentn\u00ed body). V\u00a0porovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0p\u0159edchoz\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00edm optimismus pos\u00edlil tak\u00e9 v\u00a08 z\u00a09 odv\u011btv\u00ed, oslabil pouze v\u00a0odv\u011btv\u00ed Obchod a slu\u017eby.<\/p>\n<p>Nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1borov\u00e9 aktivity o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed zam\u011bstnavatel\u00e9 v\u00a0odv\u011btv\u00ed Finance, poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed nemovitost\u00ed s hodnotou\u00a0indexu 34. Vykazuje tak\u00e9 v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 pos\u00edlen\u00ed ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0minul\u00fdm \u010dtvrtlet\u00edm, a to o 46 procentn\u00edch bod\u016f. Mezikvart\u00e1ln\u011b narostly tak\u00e9 Energetika a ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 slu\u017eby a Zdravotn\u00ed a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u00e9\u010de, farmacie o 44 a 43 bod\u016f. V\u00a0meziro\u010dn\u00edm srovn\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00e1 nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdsledky odv\u011btv\u00ed Ostatn\u00ed (kde je p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm ve\u0159ejn\u00fd a neziskov\u00fd sektor) s\u00a023 procentn\u00edmi body.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Porovn\u00e1n\u00ed organizac\u00ed podle velikosti<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Zlep\u0161en\u00ed n\u00e1borov\u00e9ho tempa p\u0159edpov\u00eddaj\u00ed pro 2. \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed 2023 v\u0161echny kategorie podle velikosti \u010desk\u00fdch organizac\u00ed. Oproti minul\u00e9mu \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed n\u00e1borov\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny pos\u00edlily tak\u00e9 ve v\u0161ech kategori\u00edch, v\u00fdsledky srovn\u00e1n\u00ed oproti stejn\u00e9mu obdob\u00ed minul\u00e9ho roku vykazuj\u00ed m\u00edrn\u00e9 oslaben\u00ed pouze u velk\u00fdch firem nad 250 zam\u011bstnanc\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>Nejoptimisti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jsou pro nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed \u010de\u0161t\u00ed zam\u011bstnavatel\u00e9 velk\u00fdch firem, hl\u00e1s\u00ed index trhu pr\u00e1ce s\u00a0hodnotou 22. Naopak nejslab\u0161\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed vykazuj\u00ed st\u0159edn\u00ed firmy (50\u2013249 zam\u011bstnanc\u016f) s\u00a0hodnotou indexu 11.<strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Region\u00e1ln\u00ed srovn\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00a0r\u00e1mci \u010cR<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Zam\u011bstnavatel\u00e9 ve v\u0161ech 3 regionech p\u0159edpokl\u00e1daj\u00ed r\u016fst trhu pr\u00e1ce v\u00a0pr\u016fb\u011bhu nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edho \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed, v\u00a0porovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0p\u0159edchoz\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00edm se n\u00e1borov\u00e9 prost\u0159ed\u00ed tak\u00e9 zlep\u0161ilo ve v\u0161ech 3 regionech. V\u00a0meziro\u010dn\u00edm srovn\u00e1n\u00ed lehce oslabilo v\u00a0Praze, a to o 2 procentn\u00ed body.<\/p>\n<p>Pro nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed vykazuj\u00ed pozitivn\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed regiony Praha a \u010cechy s\u00a019 body, n\u00e1sledov\u00e1ny Moravou s\u00a0hodnotou indexu 11.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed pohled<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Na z\u00e1klad\u011b sezonn\u011b o\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdch dat o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed zam\u011bstnavatel\u00e9 na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b stejn\u00e9 prost\u0159ed\u00ed na trhu pr\u00e1ce jako minul\u00e9 \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed. Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed \u010cist\u00fd index trhu pr\u00e1ce pro 2Q 2023 m\u00e1 op\u011bt hodnotu 23 bod\u016f. Situace, kdy se predikce od minul\u00e9ho \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed nezm\u011bnily, nazna\u010duje, \u017ee se zam\u011bstnavatel\u00e9 nechystaj\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161it n\u00e1bor nov\u00fdch zam\u011bstnanc\u016f, dokud nebudou v\u011bd\u011bt, jak se bude vyv\u00edjet glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomika. Ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s obdob\u00edm lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku se v\u0161ak p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f n\u00e1boru sn\u00ed\u017eila o 6 procentn\u00edch bod\u016f, co\u017e je zp\u016fsobeno vysokou inflac\u00ed, cenami, \u00farokov\u00fdmi sazbami a slab\u0161\u00ed spot\u0159ebitelskou popt\u00e1vkou v d\u016fsledku krize \u017eivotn\u00edch n\u00e1klad\u016f. Dopad rusko-ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu i nad\u00e1le ovliv\u0148uje Evropu a sv\u011btovou ekonomiku.<\/p>\n<p>Nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1borov\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny pro druh\u00e9 \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed 2023 p\u0159edpov\u00eddaj\u00ed zam\u011bstnavatel\u00e9 v zem\u00edch St\u0159edn\u00ed Ameriky \u2013 Panama (41), Kostarika (38) a Guatemala (38). Pozitivn\u00ed pl\u00e1ny v tomto regionu podporuje zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e1 m\u00edra obchodn\u00edch transakc\u00ed p\u0159es St\u0159edn\u00ed Ameriku a p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e1 situace v cestovn\u00edm ruchu. Energetick\u00e9 iniciativy v regionu, jako jsou pl\u00e1ny Kostariky na dekarbonizaci a p\u0159echod Kolumbie na v\u00edce obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f energie, zvy\u0161uj\u00ed n\u00e1borov\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny v odv\u011btv\u00ed Energetika a ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 slu\u017eby (37), kter\u00e9 hl\u00e1s\u00ed nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed index ze v\u0161ech odv\u011btv\u00ed v regionu. Politick\u00e9 zm\u011bny a nepokoje v Braz\u00edlii a Peru naopak p\u0159isp\u011bly k celkov\u00e9mu m\u00edrn\u00e9mu poklesu hodnot indexu v regionu ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0minul\u00fdm \u010dtvrtlet\u00edm, proto\u017ee zam\u011bstnavatel\u00e9 v t\u011bchto zem\u00edch utlumuj\u00ed sv\u00e9 n\u00e1borov\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny.<\/p>\n<p>Dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdsledky pr\u016fzkumu ManpowerGroup index trhu pr\u00e1ce budou zve\u0159ejn\u011bny 13.\u00a0\u010dervna\u00a02023.<\/p>\n<h2><\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>Na p\u0159elomu roku se firmy p\u0159ipravovaly na nejhor\u0161\u00ed a odkl\u00e1daly n\u00e1bory. Na ja\u0159e pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed doplnit stavy.<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1089,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1088","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyza"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1088","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1088"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1088\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1090,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1088\/revisions\/1090"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1089"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1088"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1088"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.czechbankingnews.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1088"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}